Monaco GP preview - can Leclerc finally win at home or does Antonelli make it five

[Phil]

The Monaco Grand Prix runs Sunday June 7, the sixth round of the 2026 season. Charles Leclerc leads the betting at 39.5% on Polymarket having taken three previous poles at his home circuit. Ferrari topped FP1. Lewis Hamilton sits at 16% alongside championship leader Kimi Antonelli who is on a four-race winning streak. Antonelli leads the Drivers Championship by 43 points. Lando Norris is at 10.5% and George Russell at 9%. Pole position is almost everything at Monaco and Ferrari's pace in practice makes this genuinely open.

Monaco GP 2026: Dates, schedule, weather, UK start time and how to watch or stream F1 race in Monte Carlo live on Sky Sports

https://www.skysports.com/f1/news/12433/13548671/monaco-gp-2026-dates-schedule-weather-uk-start-time-and-how-to-watch-or-stream-f1-race-in-monte-carlo-live-on-sky-sports

[IronFist66]

Leclerc at 39.5% is fair value. He has had pole three times and been robbed by strategy and pit call disasters every single time. The Monaco curse has to end eventually

[Hollow85]

Ferrari topping FP1 in Monaco means more than topping FP1 anywhere else. Low-speed corners reward mechanical grip and the Ferrari has the best front end in the field right now

[Hollow Coder]

Norris at 10.5% feels about right given McLaren's recent form but Monaco is so circuit-specific that those points mean less here than any other race on the calendar