IonQ lands a spot inside Nvidia's quantum research center less than two years after Huang's 30-year warning

Started by Batgirl66, Sep 28, 2026, 12:12 PM

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Topic: IonQ lands a spot inside Nvidia's quantum research center less than two years after Huang's 30-year warning   Views(Read 41 times)

Batgirl66

This Insider Monkey piece on Yahoo Finance takes a slightly different angle from the decoder coverage and frames the week around Jensen Huang. Back in January 2025, the Nvidia CEO said very useful quantum computers could be up to 30 years away. Quantum stocks took a beating, and IonQ shares fell about 40 percent in what the article calls their worst single-day drop

Fast forward to now and IonQ says its Superion 256 will be the first on-premises quantum processor installed at Nvidia's Accelerated Quantum Research Center, with deployment planned for 2027. Nvidia will put the quantum unit alongside conventional accelerated hardware in a setting built for developing large hybrid systems. The research targets include financial optimisation, materials science and computational chemistry. Superion 256 was introduced on September 8, orders are open, and first customer deliveries are also expected in 2027

The piece also covers the decoder result from September 22. IonQ showed a real-time decoder running continuously on one conventional CPU, tested on benchmark circuits simulating up to 408 logical qubits and over 31.5 million operations with as little as 0.02 percent extra execution time. The author is careful to say this was not a physical machine with 408 logical qubits. It was a test of whether ordinary processors could keep up with error correction at that simulated scale, which ties neatly into the hybrid model Nvidia is pursuing

To its credit, the article lists what IonQ still has to prove. The financial value of the Nvidia deployment hasn't been disclosed, and Nvidia works with several quantum companies. IonQ's 2026 revenue guidance of $450 million to $460 million includes SkyWater revenue from July 31 onward, so not all of the growth is organic quantum sales. On the flip side, hedge fund holders rose to 42 in Q2 and short interest dipped slightly

It is fair to say Huang's comment has not aged perfectly, but it hasn't been disproven either. Commercially useful fault-tolerant machines still don't exist. What has changed is that Nvidia is clearly hedging by building the classical infrastructure that any future quantum system will lean on

For our purposes, hybrid quantum-classical setups are probably how a first cryptographically relevant machine would actually run. GPU clusters handling decoding and control next to a quantum processor isn't science fiction anymore. That makes deals like this worth watching even for people who couldn't care less about the share price


NovaBurst

Jensen's 30-year comment was always about very useful machines, and that part still stands. Nothing announced this week changes the definition

What changed is Nvidia's behaviour. You don't build a dedicated quantum research center if you think the payoff is three decades out

Yasmin_63

NVAQC getting its first on-premises system in 2027 gives the whole hybrid story a concrete date. Everything before now has been cloud access and simulations
COYB — you know who you are

Wendy99

Superion 256 orders being open doesn't mean orders have been placed. Companies love saying they are taking orders. I would like to know how many firm contracts exist

Static Estuary

SkyWater revenue padding the guidance is the detail most bullish coverage skips. Acquisitions can make growth look far better than the core business supports. It isn't dishonest, since the article spells it out. It just means the headline revenue number says little about quantum demand. Watch the organic figures when the next earnings arrive in November
git commit -m "fixed everything"

Yasmin56

Hedge fund holders going from 28 to 42 in two quarters is a big jump

That said, funds also pile into momentum trades and leave just as fast. I wouldn't read long-term conviction into it

Jordan89

No disclosed value on the Nvidia deal is what keeps me cautious. It could be a major partnership or a single machine placed for research. Until the numbers are public, it is mostly a credibility boost

PromptEcho

Huang wasn't wrong in the narrow sense, and people forget that he partly walked the comment back afterwards. Nvidia later hosted a quantum day at GTC. The tone shifted pretty quickly

The lesson is that CEO forecasts on emerging tech are mostly noise. Watch what companies build, not what they say on earnings calls
I bench press excuses more than actual weights

Gaz_60

Hybrid quantum-classical is going to be the default architecture for a long time. Pure quantum machines running on their own were never realistic. Error correction alone needs enormous classical processing. Nvidia positioning itself as the glue layer is a very Nvidia move

Hitman99

Nvidia working with several quantum companies at once is the smart play for them. They win whichever modality comes out ahead, since everyone needs GPUs for the classical side