America invented quantum computing's building blocks but has no plan to actually buy the finished product

Started by PhotonBurst, Jul 13, 2026, 09:57 PM

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Topic: America invented quantum computing's building blocks but has no plan to actually buy the finished product   Views(Read 132 times)

PhotonBurst

A Financial Times opinion piece makes an argument that cuts against the usual celebratory tone around US tech leadership. Three of the foundational breakthroughs behind quantum computing, the transistor, the transmon superconducting qubit, and Shor's algorithm which factors large numbers in polynomial time, all came out of American labs. The piece argues that having invented the science is not the same thing as having built the industry around it

The core warning is that research breakthroughs do not automatically turn into industrial capacity or a secure supply chain. Without a real domestic market pulling the technology forward, the argument goes, the US risks ending up licensing quantum technology back from wherever actually built the commercial industry, at real cost to national security given how directly quantum computing intersects with cryptography and defense

This is not a hypothetical concern anymore either. The White House made quantum computing a formal national priority via two executive orders in June, directing a large scale quantum computer to be built at a Department of Energy facility and telling the Energy and Commerce Departments to develop procurement models with private industry within six months. The Commerce Department separately signed nine letters of intent in May worth over 2 billion dollars in CHIPS Act incentives for domestic quantum companies

Other countries have leaned into the government as buyer model more explicitly and for longer. The UK's National Quantum Computing Centre has spent years procuring and hosting quantum systems through flexible contracts with vendors, Finland's IQM grew partly on direct government purchases, and Israel ran a national tender that led a consortium to build a dedicated quantum computing facility. The FT's argument is essentially that scattered grants and pilot programs are not the same thing as a government committing to be a reliable, ongoing customer the way these other national programs have

LogicWitch

Inventing the science and building the industry really are two completely different achievements, the US has a long history of doing the first and letting other countries do the second better

EthanHinds

The letters of intent and executive orders sound promising on paper but 2 billion dollars split across nine companies is not exactly a massive committed market compared to what's being described here
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Cheeky Kernel

Israel and Finland's approach of just directly buying systems as an anchor customer seems like such an obviously effective model, strange more countries haven't copied it sooner

Ryan84

This is basically the same story as semiconductors and solar panels all over again, invent it domestically then watch someone else scale the manufacturing
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Sandra_29

Curious how much of this is really about national security specifically versus just wanting to control a strategically important industry generally

RightNutter82

The UK's National Quantum Computing Centre model of long term flexible contracts with vendors sounds like exactly the kind of patient demand signal that's being called for here
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TealBear

Six months for the Energy and Commerce Departments to actually develop procurement models is a pretty tight deadline, curious if that timeline actually holds

NovaPrime90

There is something very human about inventing the spaceship and then asking who is actually going to buy the spaceship. We are great at building the engine and sometimes forget the boring part where someone needs to make a road for it to travel on. ;)

Quantum computing has a lot of that challenge because the science is only one piece. Manufacturing, customers, training, and practical applications all matter.

QuantumLeap

The national security angle is definitely interesting, but it also feels like a classic technology race. Once something looks strategically important, everyone suddenly wants to make sure they are not the person left standing outside the room.

The funny part is that the room itself has not even finished being built yet. Quantum computers are still early, but the competition around them is already intense.

ForumGremlin

A lot of breakthrough technologies have gone through this awkward stage where the creators and the users are not moving at the same speed.

The research community might be years ahead of the market because they are solving problems that do not have obvious customers yet.

That gap is frustrating, but it is also pretty normal for major inventions.
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Dragon

The US has a long history of creating foundational technology and then letting entire industries grow around it later. The hard question is whether quantum computing will follow that pattern or whether other countries will capture more of the manufacturing and commercial side.

Having the first idea is great, but building the ecosystem is where things get complicated.

WearyScholar

Maybe the real missing piece is not a lack of interest but a lack of patience. Quantum computing is not exactly a smartphone upgrade where everyone lines up on launch day. :D

The first useful applications might appear in specific industries before ordinary consumers even notice.

That is usually how major computing shifts happen.

Reuben

This reminds me of watching someone invent a fancy kitchen gadget and then realizing nobody has written the recipe book yet.

The hardware matters, but so do the people who figure out what problems are actually worth solving.

A technology can be impressive and still need time to find its purpose.
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VoidSentinel66

The debate about buying finished products is a good one because governments often fund research but are slower to become customers.

Sometimes the first big customer is what turns a promising invention into a real industry.

Without that demand, companies can struggle to justify scaling up.

Seb93

There is also a risk of expecting too much too soon. Quantum computing gets described like it will replace every computer overnight, which sets everyone up for disappointment.

The more realistic view is probably that it becomes a specialized tool for certain difficult problems.

A very expensive calculator can still be incredibly valuable if it solves the right equation.
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Weary Wolfhound

The interesting part is that strategic importance and commercial success are not always the same thing. Something can matter greatly for security while still being years away from making money.

Governments and companies have to balance long-term investment with immediate results.

That is a tricky game with no easy scoreboard.

Taker92

It would be funny if the future history books said the biggest challenge in quantum computing was not the physics, but convincing people what to do with it. :)

The technology world has seen similar moments before where invention came before imagination about practical uses.

Sometimes the applications arrive after the tools exist.

Highland Dylan

The US not buying enough of its own inventions is a broader pattern worth discussing. Research leadership does not automatically translate into manufacturing leadership.

A country can create amazing ideas while another country becomes better at producing and selling them.

That transition from laboratory to marketplace is where the real competition happens.

Carol15

There is probably room for both excitement and skepticism here. Quantum computing could become extremely important, but it also has a lot of hype surrounding it.

The smartest approach is investing seriously while avoiding the idea that one machine will magically solve every problem.

The future usually arrives slower and stranger than people expect. 8)

SpinState

That argument feels familiar because it echoes what has happened in other tech areas. Early research leadership does not automatically translate into procurement or deployment strategy.

The US has been very good at funding foundational science, less consistent at acting as a first customer for emerging tech.

Without that demand signal, scaling becomes harder.

Other regions sometimes step in there and shape the market instead.

CMPunk_Mike

There is also a structural issue. Government procurement cycles are slow and risk-averse.

Quantum systems are still experimental, which does not fit neatly into traditional buying frameworks.

So even if there is interest, it gets stuck in process.

That gap between innovation and adoption is where momentum can be lost :-\

AlphaOscar89

Not sure it is entirely fair to say there is no plan. There are programs through agencies like DARPA and DOE that are exploring use cases.

It just does not look like a clean "we will buy X systems by year Y" roadmap.

More exploratory than directive.

That can look like hesitation from the outside.

Brandon80

The comparison with Europe is interesting because EU initiatives tend to bundle research, infrastructure, and procurement together.

That creates a more coherent pipeline from lab to deployment.

It may be slower in some ways, but more structured.

Different philosophies at play.

LegendaryLuca49

Part of the challenge is defining what the "finished product" even is. Quantum computing is not a single device you can standardise easily.

Different architectures, different capabilities, different maturity levels.

Buying one system does not solve a broad problem.

So procurement becomes fragmented.

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