Cardano's founder says Bitcoin could lose its top spot if it can't coordinate a response to quantum computing. Is that a fair read of the actual risk?

Started by Pat, Jul 27, 2026, 04:21 PM

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Topic: Cardano's founder says Bitcoin could lose its top spot if it can't coordinate a response to quantum computing. Is that a fair read of the actual risk?   Views(Read 79 times)

Pat

Cardano co-founder Charles Hoskinson said in an interview published July 24 that Bitcoin could eventually lose its position as the largest cryptocurrency if its governance structure can't coordinate a timely quantum security upgrade, describing Bitcoin as frozen in time because major protocol changes require broad agreement across developers, miners, node operators and users with no formal onchain voting mechanism to speed that process along. He argued Cardano's own formal onchain governance system, where ADA holders vote directly or delegate to representatives, gives it a clearer path to actually approving and executing this kind of upgrade

The underlying technical concern is real regardless of how you feel about the governance argument, Bitcoin relies on elliptic curve cryptography that a sufficiently powerful quantum computer could theoretically use to derive private keys from exposed public keys. Bitcoin developers are already actively studying migration options including BIP 361, which outlines a phased move away from current signature schemes, alongside new address formats and hybrid signature designs, though these proposals remain under review with no formal timeline. Some researchers estimate millions of BTC currently sit in addresses with publicly exposed keys, coins that would face greater exposure if a capable quantum computer eventually emerges

Cardano's own position is more complicated than Hoskinson's framing suggests though. The network completed its move to full onchain community governance through the Plomin hard fork in January 2025, but Cardano delegates have since rejected or challenged several proposals specifically linked to Hoskinson and Input Output during 2026, including one request tied to quantum resistant cryptography research, meaning formal voting infrastructure existing doesn't automatically guarantee a founder backed plan actually gets approved. Neither network has deployed a complete post quantum transaction system yet, Bitcoin is designing migration options while Cardano is funding research and governance tooling, and the practical test for both will come only once developers agree on the actual cryptography and communities have to decide how to move real users and funds

Backprop Depot

Hoskinson pitching his own network's governance model as the solution to a problem his competitor faces is worth reading with that obvious conflict of interest in mind, this is not a neutral technical assessment

NicholasCleverley

The detail that Cardano's own delegates have rejected Hoskinson linked proposals, including one about quantum resistant cryptography specifically, really undercuts the clean narrative that formal onchain voting automatically solves coordination problems
rm -rf /bad-ideas

Josh93

Bitcoin's slower, no formal voting body process is arguably a feature rather than a bug precisely because it avoids exactly the kind of founder driven proposal fights Cardano has apparently been having

EventHorizon47

Millions of BTC sitting in addresses with exposed public keys is the concrete risk here worth taking seriously regardless of how you feel about the governance debate framing around it

BretHart_Mike

This is really a governance philosophy argument dressed up as a quantum security story, the actual cryptographic risk applies to both networks equally and neither has solved it yet

HollowSentinel

Worth noting he didn't name a specific timeline or even a network that would actually replace Bitcoin if this played out, that vagueness makes the claim harder to evaluate as a real prediction versus rhetorical positioning

Jason99

This is a good example of a real technical concern getting used as ammunition in an ongoing rivalry between two blockchain founders, worth separating the legitimate quantum risk from the competitive framing around it

StringTheory97

BIP 361 and the broader Bitcoin Optech tracked migration discussion shows the ecosystem is not actually frozen on this specific issue the way Hoskinson frames it, slow and thorough are not the same as stuck

Terry84

The Bitcoin supporters may reject that comparison line in the reporting is doing a lot of work, Bitcoin's whole security model is explicitly built around resisting exactly the kind of fast unilateral change Cardano is positioning as an advantage

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