Bitcoin Stalls Below $78,000 As Long Term Holders Sell At A Loss And Liquidations Pile Up

Started by RayOfLight32, Yesterday at 07:02 PM

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Topic: Bitcoin Stalls Below $78,000 As Long Term Holders Sell At A Loss And Liquidations Pile Up   Views(Read 31 times)
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RayOfLight32(1) Marcus11(1) ProperJobs98(1)

RayOfLight32

Bitcoin climbed as high as $77,600 before pulling back slightly, and it is currently trading around $77,178, stalling just below the psychologically important $78,000 level even as strong ETF demand keeps propping up the market. According to Bitfinex, some long term holders have been selling their coins at an average of 20 percent below their original cost basis specifically to raise liquidity, which under normal circumstances would be expected to pressure a rally by dumping more supply onto the market at exactly the wrong moment.

What has kept the price from actually buckling under that selling pressure is a genuinely strong wave of ETF buying. Spot Bitcoin ETFs pulled in $307 million in net inflows on August 21 alone, extending a five day streak of consecutive daily inflows and bringing the total over the past four days to $1.61 billion according to SoSoValue data. Spot Ethereum ETFs recorded a further $185 million in net inflows on the same day, suggesting institutional demand is broadly holding up across both major assets rather than being isolated to Bitcoin specifically.

The genuinely uneasy part of this setup is what is happening underneath the price action itself. More than $1.6 billion in leveraged positions were liquidated over a single 24 hour period, split roughly evenly between about $866 million in long positions and $797 million in shorts, a scale of forced unwinding that suggests plenty of traders on both sides of the market got caught badly wrong footed by recent price swings. Analyst Darkfost specifically warned that Bitcoin is unlikely to grind higher in a straight line from here, pointing to a meaningful pool of liquidity sitting just below the current price that the market could easily revisit on any pullback.

The overall picture right now is a market genuinely split between two competing forces pulling in opposite directions at once, fresh institutional demand flowing in steadily through regulated ETF products, against older holders quietly cashing out at a real loss just to free up cash, all while a heavily leveraged derivatives market keeps generating outsized liquidation events on both the long and short side whenever price actually moves.

Whether ETF buyers can keep absorbing that supply long enough for Bitcoin to actually clear $78,000 cleanly, or whether the market ends up testing that liquidity sitting below current levels first, looks like the genuinely open question heading into the next few trading sessions

Marcus11

The detail about long term holders selling at an average 20 percent loss just to raise liquidity is honestly the most telling signal buried in this entire piece. People who have held through multiple cycles rarely sell at a real loss unless they genuinely need the cash for something else entirely, which suggests there is more going on here than simple profit taking.

ProperJobs98

$1.6 billion in liquidations split almost evenly between longs and shorts tells you the market itself has become genuinely directionless in the very short term, with leveraged traders getting punished hard on both sides of every single swing rather than one clear camp being obviously wrong. That kind of two way liquidation pattern usually means volatility itself, not direction, is the actual dominant force right now.

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